Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 75.036842 84.293589 93.786278 104.217815 115.328726 126.780743 139.447638
2025-01-12 59.866351 73.008612 87.123754 103.285108 121.155919 140.200199 161.917975
2025-01-19 49.542467 64.516506 81.187430 100.864003 123.207116 147.565367 175.908094
2025-01-26 45.097630 61.906239 81.155223 104.403065 131.320064 161.144971 196.339086
2025-02-02 41.055210 59.216779 80.562987 106.878684 137.868358 172.684451 214.254106
2025-02-09 35.897474 54.643787 77.297499 105.825635 140.001230 178.927160 225.940040
2025-02-16 31.488151 50.582806 74.293284 104.761728 141.846402 184.616692 236.806526
2025-02-23 28.540267 48.132174 73.053351 105.640166 145.838571 192.683026 250.327712
2025-03-02 25.540140 45.340534 71.163263 105.527292 148.483898 199.050702 261.782633
2025-03-09 23.191653 43.236460 69.995745 106.181377 151.955397 206.321427 274.246053
2025-03-16 20.417494 40.281679 67.511831 104.992005 153.018166 210.605892 283.097324
2025-03-23 18.867221 38.985184 67.155145 106.469402 157.346795 218.796740 296.587291
2025-03-30 17.555657 37.971301 67.153912 108.420980 162.323058 227.864714 311.266449
2025-04-06 15.439160 35.513691 65.001119 107.412506 163.464495 232.196278 320.223110
2025-04-13 13.132529 32.505959 61.878533 104.940675 162.597954 233.950640 325.973209
2025-04-20 12.695208 32.593944 63.233203 108.564509 169.632560 245.530047 343.729664
2025-04-27 12.011346 32.188749 63.817084 111.099853 175.236635 255.329635 359.329040
2025-05-04 10.506578 30.167778 61.867546 110.021520 176.027260 259.049521 367.431497
2025-05-11 9.150212 28.259529 59.975542 108.932007 176.732655 262.612146 375.305689
2025-05-18 8.339611 27.307177 59.510649 109.831597 180.064713 269.491394 387.290374
2025-05-25 7.400455 25.983981 58.381396 109.716009 181.991364 274.555795 397.006802
2025-06-01 6.690041 25.047353 57.819312 110.385807 184.955875 280.937295 408.368980
2025-06-08 5.724616 23.417260 56.024173 109.167836 185.292821 283.902359 415.426061